NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 25, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 14 | 31 | 70.0% | 1 | 32.2 | 1 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 12 | 31 | 60.0% | 2 | 30.8 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 11 | 31 | 55.0% | 3 | 25.7 | 4 |
| 4 | Steve Creaser | 10 | 31 | 50.0% | 4 | 28.4 | 3 |
| 4 | Dan Ellenberger | 10 | 31 | 50.0% | 4 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 4 | Mike Thorne | 10 | 30 | 47.6% | 6 | 23.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Karl Loiseau | 9 | 30 | 42.9% | 7 | 24.8 | 5 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 8 | 21.2 | 10 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 8 | 31 | 40.0% | 9 | 22.6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 8 | 30 | 38.1% | 10 | 21.7 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| New York Giants | 6 | 11.1 | @ SEA | 0.39 |
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 13.7 | GB | 0.82 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 7.4 | @ NYJ | 0.55 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 13.9 | PIT | 0.82 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 10.1 | @ TB | 0.55 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 6.8 | DEN | |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 10.8 | ARI | 0.62 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 7.9 | @ MIN | 0.38 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 7.0 | @ IND | 0.39 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 9.8 | NE | 0.45 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7.7 | SF | 0.45 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 5.5 | @ JAK | 0.39 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 11.7 | CHI | 0.8 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 5.9 | WAS | 0.61 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 5.9 | @ ATL | 0.34 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 13.0 | BYE | |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 6.5 | @ DAL | 0.2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 8.9 | @ NO | 0.57 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 9.0 | BYE | |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 9.0 | @ LAR | 0.55 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 6.8 | CIN | 0.39 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 10.3 | @ CLE | 0.61 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 6.3 | LV | 0.43 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 5.1 | @ PHI | 0.18 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 9.1 | @ DET | 0.61 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 8.8 | @ BUF | 0.18 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 4.7 | TEN | 0.43 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 4 | 8.1 | @ HOU | 0.57 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 9.0 | BAL | 0.45 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 4.1 | MIA | 0.39 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 6 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 10 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 16 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 13 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| New York Jets | 5 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 23 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 21 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Tennessee Titans | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 25 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 19 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 22 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
